Florida Panthers at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-04-17 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 6 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

DET: 30.2%

FLA: 69.8%

Expected Goals

DET: 1.57

FLA: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 51%

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	39	33	6	84.6%	4.59	3	-1.41
FLA	Spencer Knight	34	33	1	97.1%	3.04	2	2.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • DET at home vs FLA: 2-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	FLA 8 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-10	FLA 4 - 3 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-06	DET 1 - 3 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-15	DET 4 - 1 FLA	DET	FLA
2025-04-10	FLA 4 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	18	0	1.22
1	FLA	16	0	1.31
2	DET	14	2	1.21
2	FLA	19	1	1.51
3	DET	11	0	0.61
3	FLA	18	2	1.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 4.6

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 6 Florida Panthers

Expected: 1.6 - 3.1