St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-04-17 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 3 - 8 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 58.3%

STL: 41.7%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.28

STL: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	33	25	8	75.8%	3.32	3	-4.68
STL	Jordan Binnington	36	33	3	91.7%	3.31	1	0.31

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 63% • NSH at home vs STL: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	NSH 6 - 5 STL	NSH	NSH
2025-12-27	STL 3 - 2 NSH	STL	NSH
2025-12-15	STL 2 - 5 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-12-11	NSH 7 - 2 STL	NSH	NSH
2025-03-27	NSH 2 - 3 STL	STL	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	18	0	1.05
1	STL	13	1	0.99
2	NSH	18	1	1.13
2	STL	19	2	1.70
3	NSH	17	0	1.13
3	STL	8	0	0.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 3 - 8 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2