Carolina Hurricanes at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-04-18 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 3 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

ARI: 31.7%

CAR: 68.3%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.05

CAR: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 53%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

CAR

A. Raanta

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	51	46	5	90.2%	4.65	3	-0.35
CAR	A. Raanta	26	23	3	88.5%	2.33	0	-0.67

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • ARI at home vs CAR: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-02-16	ARI 1 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-01-27	CAR 3 - 1 ARI	CAR	CAR
2023-03-03	ARI 1 - 6 CAR	CAR	CAR
2022-11-23	CAR 0 - 4 ARI	ARI	CAR
2022-04-18	ARI 3 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	9	0	0.33
1	CAR	22	0	1.03
2	ARI	18	0	1.44
2	CAR	27	2	1.84
3	ARI	9	0	0.56
3	CAR	17	1	1.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.1

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 3 - 5 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.1 - 3.0