Florida Panthers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2022-04-19 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 2 - 3 Florida Panthers (OT)

Win Probability

NYI: 37.2%

FLA: 62.8%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.10

FLA: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 7.0

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 56%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	42	39	3	92.9%	5.87	5	2.87
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	26	24	2	92.3%	3.42	3	1.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYI at home vs FLA: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	NYI 5 - 2 FLA	NYI	FLA
2026-03-01	NYI 5 - 4 FLA	NYI	FLA
2025-12-07	FLA 4 - 1 NYI	FLA	FLA
2025-03-16	NYI 4 - 2 FLA	NYI	NYI
2025-02-02	FLA 6 - 3 NYI	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	11	0	0.78
1	FLA	16	1	1.29
2	NYI	14	1	1.43
2	FLA	20	1	1.82
3	NYI	12	2	1.20
3	FLA	20	2	2.55
4	NYI	0	0	0.00
4	FLA	1	1	0.22

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 4.8

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 2 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.1 - 2.7