Chicago Blackhawks at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2022-04-20 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 3 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks (OT)

Win Probability

ARI: 45.2%

CHI: 54.8%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.82

CHI: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 51%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

CHI

K. Lankinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	40	36	4	90.0%	4.68	3	0.68
CHI	K. Lankinen	35	32	3	91.4%	2.67	0	-0.33

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • ARI at home vs CHI: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-10	CHI 7 - 4 ARI	CHI	ARI
2024-03-05	ARI 2 - 5 CHI	CHI	ARI
2023-10-30	ARI 8 - 1 CHI	ARI	ARI
2023-03-18	ARI 4 - 2 CHI	ARI	ARI
2023-02-28	ARI 4 - 1 CHI	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	13	0	0.48
1	CHI	24	2	2.26
2	ARI	16	0	1.10
2	CHI	16	0	1.04
3	ARI	16	0	0.92
3	CHI	12	0	0.68
4	ARI	2	0	0.18
4	CHI	7	1	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 3 - 4 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 2.8 - 3.3