Colorado Avalanche at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-04-20 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 3 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

SEA: 50.7%

COL: 49.3%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.92

COL: 3.39

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

COL

P. Francouz

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	27	25	2	92.6%	2.18	1	0.18
COL	P. Francouz	29	26	3	89.7%	3.41	2	0.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • SEA at home vs COL: 2-9

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	COL 2 - 0 SEA	COL	COL
2026-03-12	SEA 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-16	SEA 3 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-22	COL 5 - 2 SEA	COL	COL
2024-11-05	COL 6 - 3 SEA	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	12	1	1.45
1	COL	13	0	0.66
2	SEA	14	0	0.73
2	COL	11	0	0.83
3	SEA	14	1	1.23
3	COL	15	1	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 3 - 2 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4