Detroit Red Wings at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2022-04-21 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 5 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

FLA: 75.8%

DET: 24.2%

Expected Goals

FLA: 4.12

DET: 2.68

Total Goals

Median: 6.9

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 52%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	30	28	2	93.3%	3.05	2	1.05
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	27	22	5	81.5%	3.29	3	-1.71

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • FLA at home vs DET: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	FLA 8 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-10	FLA 4 - 3 DET	FLA	FLA
2026-03-06	DET 1 - 3 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-10-15	DET 4 - 1 FLA	DET	FLA
2025-04-10	FLA 4 - 1 DET	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	9	1	0.70
1	DET	16	0	1.02
2	FLA	14	1	1.22
2	DET	7	1	0.79
3	FLA	13	1	1.37
3	DET	12	1	1.24

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 75.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 5 - 2 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 4.1 - 2.7