Buffalo Sabres at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-04-21 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 60.0%

BUF: 40.0%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.22

BUF: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 56%

NJD

A. Hammond

BUF

C. Anderson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	A. Hammond	28	23	5	82.1%	2.58	1	-2.42
BUF	C. Anderson	31	29	2	93.5%	3.08	1	1.08

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NJD at home vs BUF: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	NJD 1 - 2 BUF	BUF	NJD
2025-12-21	NJD 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	NJD
2025-11-28	BUF 0 - 5 NJD	NJD	BUF
2025-02-02	BUF 4 - 3 NJD	BUF	NJD
2024-10-05	NJD 3 - 1 BUF	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	15	0	0.73
1	BUF	10	0	1.00
2	NJD	17	1	1.25
2	BUF	11	1	0.70
3	NJD	15	0	1.10
3	BUF	13	0	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 5 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9