Winnipeg Jets at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-04-21 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

CAR: 67.9%

WPG: 32.1%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.94

WPG: 2.33

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

CAR

A. Raanta

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	22	20	2	90.9%	2.41	2	0.41
WPG	Eric Comrie	46	42	4	91.3%	5.03	2	1.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CAR at home vs WPG: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-28	CAR 5 - 1 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-11-21	WPG 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-09	CAR 4 - 2 WPG	CAR	CAR
2025-02-04	WPG 3 - 0 CAR	WPG	CAR
2024-03-02	CAR 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	26	0	1.91
1	WPG	9	0	0.85
2	CAR	27	1	1.75
2	WPG	15	2	1.20
3	CAR	15	1	1.37
3	WPG	7	0	0.36

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.9 - 2.3