Vancouver Canucks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-04-21 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 6 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

MIN: 64.1%

VAN: 35.9%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.38

VAN: 2.72

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 54%

MIN

C. Talbot

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	C. Talbot	24	21	3	87.5%	2.28	0	-0.72
VAN	Thatcher Demko	32	26	6	81.2%	3.17	2	-2.83

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • MIN at home vs VAN: 8-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-12-06	VAN 4 - 2 MIN	VAN	MIN
2025-11-01	MIN 5 - 2 VAN	MIN	MIN
2025-04-12	VAN 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	VAN
2025-03-07	VAN 3 - 1 MIN	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	12	0	0.39
1	VAN	18	0	1.03
2	MIN	14	0	0.93
2	VAN	11	0	0.56
3	MIN	16	2	1.85
3	VAN	9	0	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 6 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.4 - 2.7