Ottawa Senators at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-04-22 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 2 Ottawa Senators (SO)

Win Probability

CBJ: 48.6%

OTT: 51.4%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.16

OTT: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 53%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

OTT

F. Gustavsson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	27	25	2	92.6%	4.47	5	2.47
OTT	F. Gustavsson	37	36	1	97.3%	3.79	2	2.79

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CBJ at home vs OTT: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-20	CBJ 1 - 4 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-12-29	OTT 1 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	OTT
2025-12-11	CBJ 3 - 6 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-04-08	CBJ 5 - 2 OTT	CBJ	OTT
2025-04-06	OTT 4 - 0 CBJ	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	7	0	0.38
1	OTT	8	0	0.55
2	CBJ	16	0	1.42
2	OTT	20	2	1.41
3	CBJ	16	0	0.55
3	OTT	11	2	1.24
4	CBJ	8	2	1.19
4	OTT	4	0	0.45
5	CBJ	3	0	0.24
5	OTT	2	1	0.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 1 - 2 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0