Seattle Kraken at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-04-22 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 6 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

MIN: 51.1%

SEA: 48.9%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.41

SEA: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 46%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	28	25	3	89.3%	1.45	0	-1.55
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	35	29	6	82.9%	4.05	4	-1.95

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • MIN at home vs SEA: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	MIN 5 - 2 SEA	MIN	MIN
2026-01-08	SEA 2 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-12-08	SEA 1 - 4 MIN	MIN	SEA
2025-03-19	MIN 4 - 0 SEA	MIN	MIN
2025-03-04	SEA 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	11	1	0.79
1	SEA	9	0	0.50
2	MIN	16	3	1.69
2	SEA	16	0	0.43
3	MIN	14	0	1.57
3	SEA	12	0	0.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 6 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0