Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2022-04-23 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

DAL: 63.5%

SEA: 36.5%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.36

SEA: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

SEA

C. Driedger

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DAL	Jake Oettinger	32	30	2	93.8%	2.65	1	0.65
SEA	C. Driedger	31	28	3	90.3%	3.22	2	0.22

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • DAL at home vs SEA: 10-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	DAL 4 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-11-26	SEA 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	SEA
2025-11-09	DAL 2 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-03-31	SEA 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	SEA
2025-03-29	SEA 1 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	17	1	1.48
1	SEA	13	1	0.99
2	DAL	17	1	1.07
2	SEA	14	0	0.82
3	DAL	8	0	0.67
3	SEA	23	0	0.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 3 - 2 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0