Chicago Blackhawks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-04-23 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

SJS: 51.9%

CHI: 48.1%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.26

CHI: 3.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

SJS

K. Kahkonen

CHI

K. Lankinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	K. Kahkonen	28	27	1	96.4%	2.55	1	1.55
CHI	K. Lankinen	19	15	4	78.9%	1.65	0	-2.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • SJS at home vs CHI: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	CHI 5 - 2 SJS	CHI	SJS
2026-04-06	SJS 3 - 2 CHI	SJS	SJS
2026-02-02	CHI 6 - 3 SJS	CHI	SJS
2025-03-13	SJS 4 - 2 CHI	SJS	SJS
2024-10-31	SJS 3 - 2 CHI	SJS	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	8	0	0.45
1	CHI	12	0	0.66
2	SJS	10	0	0.62
2	CHI	14	1	1.00
3	SJS	11	0	0.59
3	CHI	13	0	0.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 4 - 1 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.3 - 3.8