Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-04-24 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 0 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (68% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 67.8%

DET: 32.2%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.54

DET: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

NJD

A. Hammond

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	A. Hammond	24	21	3	87.5%	4.07	7	1.07
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	17	17	0	100.0%	3.16	3	3.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • NJD at home vs DET: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	DET 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-08	NJD 0 - 3 DET	DET	NJD
2025-11-24	NJD 4 - 3 DET	NJD	NJD
2025-04-16	NJD 2 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2024-11-29	DET 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	8	0	0.77
1	DET	10	2	1.00
2	NJD	9	1	1.19
2	DET	12	1	0.80
3	NJD	16	2	1.20
3	DET	12	4	2.26

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 0 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9