Boston Bruins at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-02-15 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 1 Boston Bruins (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (68% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 32.2%

BOS: 67.8%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.02

BOS: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	40	37	3	92.5%	4.95	4	1.95
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	42	38	4	90.5%	6.00	6	2.00

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 38% • NYR at home vs BOS: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	BOS 3 - 0 NYR	BOS	NYR
2026-01-26	NYR 4 - 3 BOS	NYR	BOS
2026-01-10	BOS 10 - 2 NYR	BOS	BOS
2025-11-28	BOS 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-02-05	NYR 3 - 2 BOS	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	4	0	0.13
1	BOS	8	0	0.59
2	NYR	19	2	1.39
2	BOS	14	0	0.87
3	NYR	17	1	1.21
3	BOS	12	2	1.08
4	NYR	6	0	0.46
4	BOS	4	0	0.38
5	NYR	9	3	2.81
5	BOS	9	2	2.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 1 Boston Bruins

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1