Edmonton Oilers at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2022-04-24 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (61% underdog)

Win Probability

CBJ: 38.6%

EDM: 61.4%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 2.51

EDM: 3.48

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 53%

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

EDM

M. Koskinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	35	33	2	94.3%	3.52	1	1.52
EDM	M. Koskinen	31	26	5	83.9%	3.09	1	-1.91

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CBJ at home vs EDM: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-13	CBJ 5 - 4 EDM	CBJ	CBJ
2025-11-10	EDM 5 - 4 CBJ	EDM	EDM
2024-12-05	EDM 6 - 3 CBJ	EDM	EDM
2024-10-28	CBJ 6 - 1 EDM	CBJ	EDM
2024-03-07	CBJ 4 - 2 EDM	CBJ	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	13	0	0.74
1	EDM	12	0	0.84
2	CBJ	15	0	1.06
2	EDM	19	1	1.67
3	CBJ	13	1	1.28
3	EDM	15	0	1.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Columbus Blue Jackets 5 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.5 - 3.5