St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2022-04-24 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 6 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 57.3%

STL: 42.7%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.12

STL: 2.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 49%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

STL

V. Husso

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	37	31	6	83.8%	3.76	1	-2.24
STL	V. Husso	17	14	3	82.4%	1.82	0	-1.18

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • ANA at home vs STL: 1-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-03	ANA 2 - 6 STL	STL	ANA
2026-03-08	ANA 0 - 4 STL	STL	ANA
2025-12-01	STL 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	STL
2025-03-16	STL 7 - 2 ANA	STL	STL
2025-03-07	ANA 3 - 4 STL	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	5	0	0.32
1	STL	16	0	1.26
2	ANA	9	0	0.59
2	STL	18	0	1.46
3	ANA	15	0	0.91
3	STL	15	1	1.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 6 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.1 - 2.7