Philadelphia Flyers at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-04-25 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

CHI: 66.2%

PHI: 33.8%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.48

PHI: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

CHI

K. Lankinen

PHI

F. Sandstrom

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	K. Lankinen	34	33	1	97.1%	3.38	2	2.38
PHI	F. Sandstrom	33	30	3	90.9%	3.76	1	0.76

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • CHI at home vs PHI: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	PHI 5 - 1 CHI	PHI	PHI
2025-12-23	CHI 1 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-03-23	CHI 7 - 4 PHI	CHI	PHI
2024-11-23	PHI 3 - 2 CHI	PHI	PHI
2024-03-30	PHI 1 - 5 CHI	CHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	13	1	1.11
1	PHI	18	2	1.63
2	CHI	16	0	1.24
2	PHI	10	0	0.70
3	CHI	14	0	1.41
3	PHI	19	0	1.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8