Calgary Flames at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-04-26 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 4 - 5 Calgary Flames (OT)

Win Probability

NSH: 49.5%

CGY: 50.5%

Expected Goals

NSH: 2.77

CGY: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 51%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

CGY

Dan Vladar - 12-11-6 | 0.898 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	38	33	5	86.8%	2.98	0	-2.02
CGY	Dan Vladar	23	19	4	82.6%	1.59	0	-2.41

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 27% • NSH at home vs CGY: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	CGY 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-12-02	NSH 5 - 1 CGY	NSH	CGY
2025-11-01	NSH 4 - 2 CGY	NSH	CGY
2025-01-04	CGY 1 - 4 NSH	NSH	CGY
2024-12-10	NSH 3 - 4 CGY	CGY	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	NSH	10	0.36
1	CGY	17	1.10
2	NSH	9	0.39
2	CGY	15	0.48
3	NSH	11	0.56
3	CGY	21	1.02
4	NSH	2	0.28
4	CGY	4	0.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 4 - 5 Calgary Flames

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2