Arizona Coyotes at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-04-26 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 5 Arizona Coyotes

🚨 Upset Loss (74% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 74.1%

ARI: 25.9%

Expected Goals

MIN: 4.31

ARI: 2.62

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 53%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	26	21	5	80.8%	3.22	1	-1.78
ARI	K. Vejmelka	38	35	3	92.1%	3.03	0	0.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • MIN at home vs ARI: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-12	MIN 4 - 1 ARI	MIN	MIN
2024-03-07	ARI 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2024-02-14	ARI 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	ARI
2024-01-13	MIN 0 - 6 ARI	ARI	MIN
2023-03-12	ARI 5 - 4 MIN	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	12	0	0.92
1	ARI	12	0	0.64
2	MIN	16	0	0.88
2	ARI	19	0	1.05
3	MIN	23	0	1.23
3	ARI	9	1	1.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 74.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 5 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 4.3 - 2.6