Vegas Golden Knights at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2022-04-27 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights (SO)

Win Probability

CHI: 60.0%

VGK: 40.0%

Expected Goals

CHI: 3.14

VGK: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 50%

CHI

K. Lankinen

VGK

L. Thompson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	K. Lankinen	46	43	3	93.5%	2.71	0	-0.29
VGK	L. Thompson	46	42	4	91.3%	3.90	1	-0.10

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • CHI at home vs VGK: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	VGK 5 - 2 CHI	VGK	VGK
2026-03-14	VGK 4 - 0 CHI	VGK	VGK
2026-01-04	CHI 3 - 2 VGK	CHI	VGK
2025-12-02	VGK 4 - 3 CHI	VGK	VGK
2025-03-28	CHI 3 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	21	0	0.96
1	VGK	20	0	0.89
2	CHI	13	0	0.67
2	VGK	16	0	0.74
3	CHI	10	0	0.73
3	VGK	16	0	0.42
4	CHI	5	0	0.24
4	VGK	2	0	0.19
5	CHI	7	1	1.30
5	VGK	7	0	0.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2