Philadelphia Flyers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2022-04-27 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

WPG: 62.0%

PHI: 38.0%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.50

PHI: 2.77

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

PHI

F. Sandstrom

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Eric Comrie	35	35	0	100.0%	3.12	1	3.12
PHI	F. Sandstrom	27	23	4	85.2%	3.67	1	-0.33

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 20% • WPG at home vs PHI: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	WPG 1 - 7 PHI	PHI	WPG
2025-10-16	PHI 2 - 5 WPG	WPG	PHI
2025-03-06	PHI 1 - 4 WPG	WPG	PHI
2025-03-01	WPG 1 - 2 PHI	PHI	WPG
2024-02-08	PHI 4 - 1 WPG	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	10	0	0.67
1	PHI	11	1	0.84
2	WPG	20	0	1.58
2	PHI	13	0	0.93
3	WPG	14	1	1.42
3	PHI	21	0	1.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 4 - 0 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8