San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-04-28 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 4 San Jose Sharks (OT)

Win Probability

EDM: 65.2%

SJS: 34.8%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.94

SJS: 2.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

EDM

M. Koskinen

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	M. Koskinen	44	40	4	90.9%	4.77	2	0.77
SJS	J. Reimer	31	26	5	83.9%	4.66	5	-0.34

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 79% • EDM at home vs SJS: 9-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-08	SJS 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	SJS
2026-03-17	EDM 5 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2026-02-28	SJS 5 - 4 EDM	SJS	EDM
2026-01-29	EDM 4 - 3 SJS	EDM	EDM
2025-04-16	SJS 0 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	15	0	0.78
1	SJS	20	1	1.48
2	EDM	17	4	2.02
2	SJS	24	1	2.17
3	EDM	16	1	1.54
3	SJS	16	0	1.04
4	EDM	2	0	0.32
4	SJS	1	0	0.09

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 4 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.9 - 2.6