Detroit Red Wings at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2022-04-29 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 64.3%

DET: 35.7%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.32

DET: 2.61

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 51%

NJD

M. Blackwood

DET

M. Hellberg

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	M. Blackwood	35	30	5	85.7%	4.83	4	-0.17
DET	M. Hellberg	23	20	3	87.0%	2.58	0	-0.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • NJD at home vs DET: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	DET 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-08	NJD 0 - 3 DET	DET	NJD
2025-11-24	NJD 4 - 3 DET	NJD	NJD
2025-04-16	NJD 2 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2024-11-29	DET 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	13	0	0.91
1	DET	12	1	1.01
2	NJD	7	0	0.60
2	DET	16	0	0.85
3	NJD	11	0	1.07
3	DET	20	3	2.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 5 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.3 - 2.6