Colorado Avalanche at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-04-29 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 4 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

MIN: 67.3%

COL: 32.7%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.28

COL: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

COL

P. Francouz

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	28	27	1	96.4%	2.31	0	1.31
COL	P. Francouz	22	18	4	81.8%	2.30	1	-1.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs COL: 5-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-13	COL 4 - 3 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-11	MIN 2 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-05-09	MIN 5 - 1 COL	MIN	COL
2026-05-05	COL 5 - 2 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-03	COL 9 - 6 MIN	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	16	0	0.99
1	COL	14	0	0.89
2	MIN	10	0	0.58
2	COL	13	0	0.71
3	MIN	8	1	0.73
3	COL	14	0	0.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 1 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9