Los Angeles Kings at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions
2022-04-28 • Rogers Arena
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 2 Los Angeles Kings (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VAN: 56.8%
LAK: 43.2%
Expected Goals
VAN: 2.99
LAK: 2.85
Total Goals
Median: 6.8
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 53%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VAN
S. Martin
LAK
C. Petersen
| Stat | VAN | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | S. Martin | 35 | 33 | 2 | 94.3% | 4.00 | 3 | 2.00 |
| LAK | C. Petersen | 29 | 26 | 3 | 89.7% | 3.66 | 1 | 0.66 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • VAN at home vs LAK: 4-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | VAN 4 - 3 LAK | VAN | VAN |
| 2026-04-09 | LAK 4 - 1 VAN | LAK | LAK |
| 2026-03-26 | VAN 0 - 4 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-11-29 | LAK 2 - 1 VAN | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-02-26 | LAK 2 - 3 VAN | VAN | LAK |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VAN | 8 | 0 | 0.44 |
| 1 | LAK | 16 | 2 | 1.46 |
| 2 | VAN | 16 | 0 | 0.95 |
| 2 | LAK | 18 | 0 | 1.45 |
| 3 | VAN | 18 | 1 | 1.81 |
| 3 | LAK | 9 | 0 | 0.47 |
| 4 | VAN | 4 | 0 | 0.46 |
| 4 | LAK | 4 | 1 | 0.62 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Vancouver Canucks 3 - 2 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.0 - 2.8
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