Boston Bruins at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2022-05-02 • PNC Arena
Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 1 Boston Bruins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 54.9%
BOS: 45.1%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.03
BOS: 2.91
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 69%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
A. Raanta
BOS
L. Ullmark
| Stat | CAR | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR | A. Raanta | 36 | 35 | 1 | 97.2% | 2.80 | 1 | 1.80 |
| BOS | L. Ullmark | 25 | 20 | 5 | 80.0% | 2.96 | 1 | -2.04 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • CAR at home vs BOS: 9-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | CAR 6 - 5 BOS | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-11-17 | BOS 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-11-01 | BOS 2 - 1 CAR | BOS | CAR |
| 2025-04-05 | BOS 5 - 1 CAR | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-03-06 | CAR 3 - 2 BOS | CAR | CAR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CAR | 18 | 0 | 0.95 |
| 1 | BOS | 14 | 0 | 1.00 |
| 2 | CAR | 17 | 0 | 0.79 |
| 2 | BOS | 18 | 1 | 1.13 |
| 3 | CAR | 8 | 1 | 1.22 |
| 3 | BOS | 18 | 0 | 0.67 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 1 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9
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