Los Angeles Kings at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-05-14 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 0 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

EDM: 51.0%

LAK: 49.0%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.02

LAK: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 74%

Over 6.5: 55%

EDM

M. Smith

LAK

J. Quick

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	M. Smith	29	29	0	100.0%	1.67	0	1.67
LAK	J. Quick	41	39	2	95.1%	3.81	3	1.81

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • EDM at home vs LAK: 14-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	LAK
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	16	1	0.68
1	LAK	11	0	0.58
2	EDM	33	2	2.39
2	LAK	15	0	0.72
3	EDM	10	0	0.74
3	LAK	12	0	0.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 2 - 0 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1