Carolina Hurricanes at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2022-05-28 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 5 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 45.3%

CAR: 54.7%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.78

CAR: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 47%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

CAR

A. Raanta

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	39	37	2	94.9%	3.73	2	1.73
CAR	A. Raanta	25	20	5	80.0%	2.87	0	-2.13

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NYR at home vs CAR: 7-9

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	18	0	1.35
1	CAR	15	1	1.67
2	NYR	12	0	0.81
2	CAR	17	1	1.42
3	NYR	10	0	0.71
3	CAR	15	0	0.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 5 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.8 - 3.1