New York Rangers at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-05-30 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 6 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 66.4%

NYR: 33.6%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.70

NYR: 2.54

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

CAR

A. Raanta

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	31	25	6	80.6%	3.76	2	-2.24
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	39	37	2	94.9%	3.96	1	1.96

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CAR at home vs NYR: 8-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NYR 0 - 2 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-29	CAR 3 - 2 NYR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-26	CAR 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	CAR
2025-11-04	NYR 0 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-12	CAR 7 - 3 NYR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	22	0	1.60
1	NYR	16	1	1.55
2	CAR	16	0	0.63
2	NYR	11	0	0.57
3	CAR	19	1	1.73
3	NYR	11	1	1.65

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 66.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 6 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.7 - 2.5