St. Louis Blues at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2022-05-17 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues (OT)

Win Probability

COL: 65.4%

STL: 34.6%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.54

STL: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

COL

D. Kuemper

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	D. Kuemper	25	23	2	92.0%	1.54	0	-0.46
STL	Jordan Binnington	54	51	3	94.4%	3.85	0	0.85

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 54% • COL at home vs STL: 6-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	STL 1 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-05	COL 2 - 3 STL	STL	COL
2025-12-31	COL 6 - 1 STL	COL	COL
2025-04-05	STL 5 - 4 COL	STL	COL
2025-03-29	COL 1 - 2 STL	STL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	COL	15	0.52
1	STL	10	0.47
2	COL	27	1.62
2	STL	11	0.44
3	COL	21	1.26
3	STL	10	0.59
4	COL	16	0.44
4	STL	1	0.04

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.5 - 2.8