Colorado Avalanche at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2022-05-27 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 50.6%

COL: 49.4%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.18

COL: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

STL

V. Husso

COL

D. Kuemper

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	V. Husso	39	36	3	92.3%	3.55	2	0.55
COL	D. Kuemper	20	18	2	90.0%	1.67	0	-0.33

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 54% • STL at home vs COL: 2-9

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	STL 1 - 3 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-05	COL 2 - 3 STL	STL	COL
2025-12-31	COL 6 - 1 STL	COL	COL
2025-04-05	STL 5 - 4 COL	STL	COL
2025-03-29	COL 1 - 2 STL	STL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	12	0	0.56
1	COL	17	1	0.90
2	STL	12	0	0.80
2	COL	22	1	1.82
3	STL	6	0	0.31
3	COL	15	0	0.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 2 - 3 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0