Edmonton Oilers at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2022-06-02 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 0 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

COL: 60.7%

EDM: 39.3%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.33

EDM: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 51%

COL

P. Francouz

EDM

M. Smith

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	P. Francouz	24	24	0	100.0%	1.07	0	1.07
EDM	M. Smith	40	36	4	90.0%	3.33	0	-0.67

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 42% • COL at home vs EDM: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	EDM 1 - 2 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-10	COL 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	COL
2025-11-08	EDM 1 - 9 COL	COL	COL
2025-02-07	EDM 4 - 5 COL	COL	EDM
2025-01-16	COL 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	COL

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	COL	16	1.14
1	EDM	17	0.68
2	COL	18	0.80
2	EDM	9	0.26
3	COL	22	1.39
3	EDM	6	0.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 0 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9