Columbus Blue Jackets at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2022-10-12 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 44.9%

CBJ: 55.1%

Expected Goals

CAR: 2.67

CBJ: 3.48

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

CBJ

Daniil Tarasov - 8-11-3 | 0.908 SV% | 3.18 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Frederik Andersen	32	31	1	96.9%	2.41	0	1.41
CBJ	Daniil Tarasov	43	39	4	90.7%	3.37	1	-0.63

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • CAR at home vs CBJ: 8-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	CAR 5 - 1 CBJ	CAR	CAR
2026-03-31	CBJ 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CBJ
2026-03-17	CBJ 5 - 1 CAR	CBJ	CAR
2025-12-09	CAR 4 - 1 CBJ	CAR	CAR
2025-01-23	CAR 7 - 4 CBJ	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	17	0	0.26
1	CBJ	13	0	0.64
2	CAR	25	0	1.48
2	CBJ	16	0	1.17
3	CAR	32	1	1.63
3	CBJ	13	0	0.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 1 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 2.7 - 3.5