Seattle Kraken at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2022-10-12 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 4 Seattle Kraken (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 45.2%

SEA: 54.8%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.49

SEA: 3.28

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 47%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	48	44	4	91.7%	4.51	1	0.51
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	27	22	5	81.5%	2.40	0	-2.60

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • ANA at home vs SEA: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-03	ANA 4 - 2 SEA	ANA	ANA
2026-01-23	SEA 2 - 4 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-12-22	ANA 1 - 3 SEA	SEA	ANA
2025-10-09	SEA 3 - 1 ANA	SEA	SEA
2025-01-28	SEA 4 - 6 ANA	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	12	0	0.88
1	SEA	25	0	1.69
2	ANA	10	0	0.68
2	SEA	19	1	1.46
3	ANA	9	0	0.73
3	SEA	17	0	1.19
4	ANA	1	0	0.10
4	SEA	1	0	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 4 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 2.5 - 3.3