Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2022-10-12 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

EDM: 47.4%

VAN: 52.6%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.83

VAN: 3.58

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

EDM

Jack Campbell - 1-4-0 | 0.873 SV% | 4.50 GAA

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	Jack Campbell	36	33	3	91.7%	2.85	1	-0.15
VAN	Thatcher Demko	25	20	5	80.0%	3.44	2	-1.56

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • EDM at home vs VAN: 8-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	EDM 5 - 6 VAN	VAN	EDM
2026-04-16	EDM 6 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2026-01-17	VAN 0 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 EDM	VAN	EDM
2025-10-11	EDM 3 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	12	0	0.63
1	VAN	17	0	1.11
2	EDM	8	1	0.96
2	VAN	17	1	1.27
3	EDM	12	1	1.85
3	VAN	13	0	0.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 2.8 - 3.6