Florida Panthers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2022-10-13 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 1 - 3 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

NYI: 44.6%

FLA: 55.4%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.42

FLA: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 44%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	29	26	3	89.7%	3.71	2	0.71
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	33	32	1	97.0%	3.51	1	2.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYI at home vs FLA: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	NYI 5 - 2 FLA	NYI	FLA
2026-03-01	NYI 5 - 4 FLA	NYI	FLA
2025-12-07	FLA 4 - 1 NYI	FLA	FLA
2025-03-16	NYI 4 - 2 FLA	NYI	NYI
2025-02-02	FLA 6 - 3 NYI	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	22	0	1.65
1	FLA	16	0	0.97
2	NYI	8	0	0.53
2	FLA	22	1	1.97
3	NYI	19	1	1.33
3	FLA	5	1	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 1 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.4 - 3.2