Dallas Stars at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2022-10-13 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 1 - 4 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 60.8%

DAL: 39.2%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.48

DAL: 2.49

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 44%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 16-7-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.57 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	29	25	4	86.2%	3.90	1	-0.10
DAL	Jake Oettinger	32	31	1	96.9%	2.34	0	1.34

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • NSH at home vs DAL: 3-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	DAL 3 - 2 NSH	DAL	DAL
2025-11-08	NSH 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-26	NSH 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	NSH
2025-04-16	NSH 5 - 1 DAL	NSH	NSH
2025-04-03	DAL 5 - 1 NSH	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	10	0	0.54
1	DAL	16	0	1.35
2	NSH	16	0	1.03
2	DAL	12	0	1.42
3	NSH	15	0	0.77
3	DAL	12	1	1.13

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 60.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 1 - 4 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.5 - 2.5