New York Rangers at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-10-13 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 7 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 54.3%

NYR: 45.7%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.87

NYR: 3.96

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	35	28	7	80.0%	3.24	2	-3.76
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	36	33	3	91.7%	3.99	3	0.99

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • MIN at home vs NYR: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-14	MIN 2 - 4 NYR	NYR	MIN
2025-10-20	NYR 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	NYR
2025-04-02	NYR 5 - 4 MIN	NYR	NYR
2025-03-13	MIN 2 - 3 NYR	NYR	MIN
2023-11-09	NYR 4 - 1 MIN	NYR	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	20	2	1.31
1	NYR	10	0	0.98
2	MIN	21	0	1.66
2	NYR	14	0	0.67
3	MIN	8	1	1.02
3	NYR	17	2	1.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 7 New York Rangers

Expected: 2.9 - 4.0