Montreal Canadiens at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-10-14 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 0 Montreal Canadiens

🚨 Upset Win (61% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 39.0%

MTL: 61.0%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.88

MTL: 2.63

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 44%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

MTL

J. Allen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	29	29	0	100.0%	1.52	0	1.52
MTL	J. Allen	40	37	3	92.5%	5.35	5	2.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • DET at home vs MTL: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	DET 3 - 1 MTL	DET	MTL
2026-01-10	MTL 0 - 4 DET	DET	MTL
2025-10-09	DET 1 - 5 MTL	MTL	MTL
2025-04-08	MTL 4 - 1 DET	MTL	MTL
2025-01-23	DET 4 - 2 MTL	DET	MTL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	28	2	2.43
1	MTL	12	0	0.61
2	DET	12	0	0.70
2	MTL	8	0	0.22
3	DET	9	3	2.22
3	MTL	11	0	0.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 0 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 2.9 - 2.6