Carolina Hurricanes at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2022-10-14 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 1 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 60.3%
CAR: 39.7%
Expected Goals
SJS: 1.95
CAR: 2.67
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
J. Reimer
CAR
A. Raanta
| Stat | SJS | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | — | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | — | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SJS | J. Reimer | 35 | 33 | 2 | 94.3% | 2.99 | 1 | 0.99 |
| CAR | A. Raanta | 19 | 18 | 1 | 94.7% | 1.88 | 1 | 0.88 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • SJS at home vs CAR: 1-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | CAR 1 - 4 SJS | SJS | CAR |
| 2025-10-14 | SJS 1 - 5 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-20 | SJS 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-12-10 | CAR 3 - 2 SJS | CAR | CAR |
| 2023-10-27 | CAR 3 - 0 SJS | CAR | CAR |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SJS | 8 | 0 | 0.34 |
| 1 | CAR | 11 | 0 | 0.70 |
| 2 | SJS | 5 | 0 | 0.60 |
| 2 | CAR | 20 | 0 | 1.30 |
| 3 | SJS | 11 | 1 | 0.94 |
| 3 | CAR | 15 | 1 | 0.99 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 4.6
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 1 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 1.9 - 2.7
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