Arizona Coyotes at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-10-15 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 6 - 3 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

BOS: 86.5%

ARI: 13.5%

Expected Goals

BOS: 4.19

ARI: 2.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 51%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	24	21	3	87.5%	2.32	0	-0.68
ARI	K. Vejmelka	43	37	6	86.0%	5.26	4	-0.74

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • BOS at home vs ARI: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-01-09	ARI 4 - 3 BOS	ARI	ARI
2023-12-09	BOS 5 - 3 ARI	BOS	BOS
2022-12-09	ARI 4 - 3 BOS	ARI	BOS
2022-10-15	BOS 6 - 3 ARI	BOS	BOS
2022-03-12	BOS 3 - 2 ARI	BOS	BOS

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	19	1	1.75
1	ARI	8	0	0.35
2	BOS	9	0	0.87
2	ARI	15	0	1.19
3	BOS	26	3	2.65
3	ARI	10	0	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 86.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 6 - 3 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 4.2 - 2.2