Anaheim Ducks at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2022-10-15 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 7 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Win Probability

NYI: 76.6%

ANA: 23.4%

Expected Goals

NYI: 4.46

ANA: 2.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	23	22	1	95.7%	2.93	2	1.93
ANA	John Gibson	38	31	7	81.6%	3.95	2	-3.05

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • NYI at home vs ANA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	ANA 5 - 1 NYI	ANA	NYI
2025-12-11	NYI 5 - 2 ANA	NYI	NYI
2025-03-09	ANA 4 - 1 NYI	ANA	NYI
2024-10-29	NYI 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	NYI
2024-03-10	ANA 1 - 6 NYI	NYI	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	17	2	1.38
1	ANA	10	0	0.62
2	NYI	20	0	0.95
2	ANA	14	0	0.86
3	NYI	17	0	1.61
3	ANA	13	2	1.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 76.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 7 - 1 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 4.5 - 2.3