Columbus Blue Jackets at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2022-10-15 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 5 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

STL: 66.6%

CBJ: 33.4%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.87

CBJ: 2.91

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 51%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	25	23	2	92.0%	1.94	0	-0.06
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	25	20	5	80.0%	2.88	0	-2.12

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • STL at home vs CBJ: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	STL 3 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	STL
2025-11-01	CBJ 3 - 2 STL	CBJ	CBJ
2025-01-11	STL 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	STL
2025-01-04	CBJ 6 - 4 STL	CBJ	CBJ
2024-01-30	STL 0 - 1 CBJ	CBJ	STL

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	STL	10	0.80
1	CBJ	7	0.36
2	STL	17	1.37
2	CBJ	15	0.98
3	STL	12	0.72
3	CBJ	10	0.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 5 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.9 - 2.9