Los Angeles Kings at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2022-10-15 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 6 - 7 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 64.1%

LAK: 35.9%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.96

LAK: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 54%

MIN

Marc-Andre Fleury - 14-9-1 | 0.899 SV% | 2.93 GAA

LAK

C. Petersen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Marc-Andre Fleury	34	27	7	79.4%	3.34	2	-3.66
LAK	C. Petersen	35	29	6	82.9%	3.07	2	-2.93

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • MIN at home vs LAK: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-05	LAK 4 - 2 MIN	LAK	LAK
2026-01-03	LAK 5 - 4 MIN	LAK	LAK
2025-10-13	MIN 4 - 3 LAK	MIN	MIN
2025-03-17	MIN 3 - 1 LAK	MIN	MIN
2024-12-07	LAK 4 - 1 MIN	LAK	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	16	0	0.83
1	LAK	18	2	1.96
2	MIN	13	1	1.15
2	LAK	16	0	1.10
3	MIN	19	1	1.10
3	LAK	9	0	0.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 6 - 7 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 4.0 - 2.8