Vegas Golden Knights at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2022-10-15 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 2 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 54.5%

VGK: 45.5%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.23

VGK: 2.52

Total Goals

Median: 7.0

Over 5.5: 72%

Over 6.5: 55%

SEA

M. Jones

VGK

Adin Hill - 1-0-2 | 0.888 SV% | 2.73 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	M. Jones	30	25	5	83.3%	2.88	1	-2.12
VGK	Adin Hill	33	31	2	93.9%	2.43	0	0.43

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 42% • SEA at home vs VGK: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	VGK 4 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-09	SEA 4 - 3 VGK	SEA	VGK
2026-01-31	VGK 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	VGK
2025-10-11	SEA 2 - 1 VGK	SEA	VGK
2025-04-10	VGK 2 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	14	0	0.76
1	VGK	13	0	0.77
2	SEA	15	0	0.81
2	VGK	19	0	1.41
3	SEA	14	0	0.85
3	VGK	9	1	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 2 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.2 - 2.5