Chicago Blackhawks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2022-10-15 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 52.0%

CHI: 48.0%

Expected Goals

SJS: 4.17

CHI: 3.68

Total Goals

Median: 5.2

Over 5.5: 49%

Over 6.5: 39%

SJS

K. Kahkonen

CHI

Petr Mrazek - 18-31-4 | 0.907 SV% | 3.05 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	K. Kahkonen	25	20	5	80.0%	2.37	1	-2.63
CHI	Petr Mrazek	26	24	2	92.3%	2.30	1	0.30

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • SJS at home vs CHI: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	CHI 5 - 2 SJS	CHI	SJS
2026-04-06	SJS 3 - 2 CHI	SJS	SJS
2026-02-02	CHI 6 - 3 SJS	CHI	SJS
2025-03-13	SJS 4 - 2 CHI	SJS	SJS
2024-10-31	SJS 3 - 2 CHI	SJS	CHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	13	0	0.65
1	CHI	12	1	1.08
2	SJS	13	1	1.12
2	CHI	10	0	0.68
3	SJS	12	0	0.53
3	CHI	11	0	0.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.9

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 4.2 - 3.7