Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2022-10-17 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 5 - 3 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

BOS: 71.1%

FLA: 28.9%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.82

FLA: 2.89

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

BOS

L. Ullmark

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	L. Ullmark	41	38	3	92.7%	3.42	0	0.42
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	34	29	5	85.3%	4.03	4	-0.97

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • BOS at home vs FLA: 8-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	FLA 2 - 1 BOS	FLA	FLA
2026-02-04	FLA 5 - 4 BOS	FLA	FLA
2025-10-21	BOS 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-03-11	BOS 3 - 2 FLA	BOS	BOS
2025-01-11	FLA 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	15	0	0.94
1	FLA	11	0	0.74
2	BOS	11	0	0.55
2	FLA	17	0	1.17
3	BOS	21	4	2.54
3	FLA	28	0	1.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 5 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.8 - 2.9