Los Angeles Kings at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2022-10-17 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 Los Angeles Kings (OT)

Win Probability

DET: 39.8%

LAK: 60.2%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.11

LAK: 3.31

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 52%

DET

Ville Husso - 9-5-2 | 0.892 SV% | 3.55 GAA

LAK

J. Quick

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	Ville Husso	36	31	5	86.1%	3.48	2	-1.52
LAK	J. Quick	33	29	4	87.9%	2.89	1	-1.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • DET at home vs LAK: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	DET 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-10-30	LAK 3 - 4 DET	DET	LAK
2025-01-27	DET 5 - 2 LAK	DET	DET
2024-11-16	LAK 4 - 1 DET	LAK	LAK
2024-01-13	DET 5 - 3 LAK	DET	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	16	0	0.84
1	LAK	16	0	0.88
2	DET	18	0	1.33
2	LAK	14	0	1.05
3	DET	9	1	0.66
3	LAK	17	2	1.50
4	DET	1	0	0.06
4	LAK	1	0	0.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 5 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.1 - 3.3